According to Pollster.com‘s metadata graphed below, New York Psychopublican, Carl Paladino, candidate for Governor (an office held by Presidents Grover Cleveland, Martin Van Buren, and both Teddy and Franklin Roosevelt)*, has made significant progress against Democratic opponent Andrew Cuomo, closing the gap from May’s 67% (Cuomo) to 22% (Paladino) to today’s 52% (Cuomo) to 40% (Paladino).
*N.Y. Governors also include John Jay, W. Averell Harriman, Mario Cuomo, Chief Justice Charles Evan Hughes, Nelson Rockefeller, Al Smith, Thomas Dewey, five Secretaries of State, and, ahem, Eliot Spitzer.
I Thought You Said, Here’s the Good News. Because we live in a symmetrical and rational world
, of course there’s good news to counter the bad news above… (To answer your question, yes, I was born yesterday. Literally.)
Firstly, in voting data terms, it’s early yet; most voters don’t commit to a choice until the week before the election, the last week of October. So, despite the early post-primaries voter commitment these two candidates earned, surely, when these voters get to know Paladino and DioGuardi better, well, let us fervently pray for a change of heart. We’re in “a wing and a prayer” status here. But still I cling to my childlike innocence, and hope – I mean, really, who would’ve thought in 2009 that both of these fringiest of fringe candidates would’ve earned anything by way of “commitment” except to a mental health spa?
Secondly, on the brighter side, many voters don’t even decide to vote at all until the week before, and that may bring out more Democrats (or more Republicans, or more Psychotics), depending upon – coming full circle – the final polls. Thus far, the GOP, especially the Psychopublicans, have mobbed their primaries, and if this trend continues to the Midterms, Democrats are in trouble. Happily, though, Democrats may also show up in record numbers in November on voting day, if driven by nothing more than abject fear of a Paladino governorship (if not outright panic at the thought of something like this – Gingrich- Paladino in 2012*)
* AAAAAAAAAAAAARRRRRRRRGGGGGHHHHHHHHH!!!!!!!
Thirdly, and I believe this entirely possible, Paladino/DioGuardi voters will, alas, be unable to find their polling places, and will wind up voting in Connecticut, or New Jersey, in a van down by the river. One can hope.
Finally, in case you need a primer on Paladino, here’s Rachel Maddow just a few days before the GOP primary. Does anyone really believe that New York will elect this guy? (Stop thinking about Eliot Spitzer!)
In conclusion.*
* AAAAAAAAAAARRRRRRRRGGGGGHHHHHHHHH!!!!!!!
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From Presidents Ronald Reagan through George W. Bush, I was a senior legislative research and policy staff of the nonpartisan Library of Congress Congressional Research Service (CRS). I'm partisan here, an "aggressive progressive." I'm a contributor to The Fold and Nation of Change. Welcome to They Will Say ANYTHING! Come back often! . . . . . Michael Matheron, contact me at mjmmoose@gmail.com